A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates intrinsic value by projecting future free cash flows and discounting them back to today. Money in the future is worth less than money today, so we adjust using a required rate of return.
The result is an enterprise value — divide by diluted shares outstanding to get intrinsic value per share.
This model does not adjust for net debt or excess cash. A more precise version subtracts net debt from enterprise value to derive equity value.
The upside/downside figure represents theoretical spread based solely on your assumptions — not a buy or sell recommendation.